The National Hurricane Center is tracking a tropical disturbance in the southern Caribbean that is expected to become Hurricane Julia over the weekend.
Hurricane watches and tropical storm warnings have been issued for locations in the path of Tropical Depression 13, according to the latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center.
The depression is expected to become a tropical storm today and a hurricane before reaching the coast of Nicaragua over the weekend. Currently, winds are projected to hit 85 mph within 48 hours.
► Your guide to preparing for the 2022 hurricane season in Florida
An area of high pressure north of the depression is expected to keep the system moving west into Central America, according to AccuWeather.
The next named storm of the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season will be Julia.
Elsewhere, the remnants of Tropical Depression 12 have dissipated over the east-central Atlantic. The Hurricane Center issued its last advisory on the system 11 p.m. Tuesday.
WeatherTiger:Inside track on Potential Tropical Cyclone 13 with 3 weeks till storm strike odds shift
Revised seasonal forecast:Atlantic hurricane season off to slow start. But top forecasters still expect above-normal activity
WeatherTiger prediction:Since 2017, a ludicrous 101 named storms have formed. Expect more this hurricane season
Here’s the latest update from the NHC as of 5 a.m. Oct. 7:
Tropical Depression 13
- Location: 35 miles southeast of the northern tip of Guajira Peninsula, Colombia
- Maximum wind speed: 35 mph
- Direction: west at 15 mph
At 5 a.m., the center of Tropical Depression 13 was located 35 miles southeast of the northern tip of Guajira Peninsula, Colombia.
The depression is moving toward the west near 15 mph, and a generally westward motion is expected to continue through Sunday. On the forecast track, the cyclone is expected to move near or over the Guajira Peninsula of Colombia this morning, then move across the southwestern Caribbean Sea through Saturday.
The cyclone is forecast to pass near San Andres and Providencia Islands Saturday night, and approach the coast of Nicaragua on Sunday morning.
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph, with higher gusts.
Gradual strengthening is forecast today, and the depression is expected to become a tropical storm later this morning or this afternoon.
A faster rate of strengthening is forecast on Saturday and Saturday night, and the system is expected to become a hurricane before it reaches San Andres and Providencia Islands and the coast of Nicaragua this weekend.
A hurricane watch is in effect for:
- San Andres, Providencia, and Santa Catalina Islands, Colombia
A tropical storm warning is in effect for:
- Coast of Colombia from Riohacha eastward to the Colombia/Venezuela border
Forecast track for Tropical Depression 13
Who is likely to be impacted?
Tropical storm conditions are expected across portions of the Guajira Peninsula of Colombia this morning. Gusts to tropical storm force are possible across Aruba and portions of northern Venezuela during the next several hours.
Heavy rainfall could cause life-threatening flash flooding over portions of the Guajira Peninsula, northern Venezuela, and the island chain of Aruba, Bonaire, and Curacao during the next day or two. The potential for flash flooding and mudslides is expected to spread to portions of Central America this weekend.
Forecasters urge all residents to continue monitoring the tropics and to always be prepared during what’s expected to be an active hurricane season.
When is the Atlantic hurricane season?
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30.
When is the peak of hurricane season?
Although the season has gotten off to a quiet start, the peak of the season is Sept. 10, with the most activity happening between mid-August and mid-October, according to the Hurricane Center.
Weather watches and warnings issued for your area
Tropical forecast over next five days
See the National Hurricane Center’s five-day graphical tropical weather outlook below.
Excessive rainfall forecast
What’s out there?
Systems currently being monitored by the National Hurricane Center.
We will continue to update our tropical weather coverage daily. Download your local site’s app to ensure you’re always connected to the news. And look at our special subscription offers here.